The average truck has a 25.9% chance of making it to a quarter million miles or more.  -  Photo: Work Truck

The average truck has a 25.9% chance of making it to a quarter million miles or more.

Photo: Work Truck

Did you know there is only a 11.8% chance of a typical vehicle lasting for 250,000 miles? However, breaking the barriers of conventional longevity, a recent study by has unearthed a lineup of 23 pickup truck models that are defying the odds and are most likely to surpass a quarter million miles.

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For its 10th anniversary, the study delved into a vast dataset of over 260 million cars sold from 2012 to 2022, scrutinizing which vehicles exhibited the highest likelihood of reaching impressive mileage milestones.

Among the contenders, trucks took the lead, securing 10 spots on the coveted list. Which may not surprise many as pickup trucks are often known for their longevity. 

Toyota emerged as the most dominant brand, with a notable presence of eight models in the lineup.

The Ford F-350 Super Duty claimed the throne as the most durable model, with a 49.1% chance of crossing the 250,000-mile mark and beyond.

The study's findings underscore a striking trend in the automotive landscape. As stated by Executive Analyst Karl Brauer, vehicle lifespans have been on a consistent rise, with over 20 cars now displaying a 20% or higher probability of reaching the coveted quarter-million-mile milestone.

The once widely accepted notion that 100,000 miles marked the upper limit of a car's usability has been challenged over the past three decades.

The study's expansion to predict vehicles with the greatest likelihood of surpassing 250,000 miles signifies a significant leap in understanding the remarkable endurance potential of modern automobiles.

Longest-Lasting Pickup Trucks

Trucks, on average, have a 25.9% probability of reaching the impressive milestone of 250,000 miles or beyond.

Surpassing this average benchmark, nine truck models stand out, exhibiting even greater longevity potential.

Among these exceptional contenders, heavy-duty models dominate the field, but notable names like the Toyota Tundra, Toyota Tacoma, Chevrolet Silverado 1500, and Chevrolet Avalanche also boast a higher-than-average likelihood of crossing the quarter-million-mile mark.

Trucks Most Likely to Last 250,000+ Miles – Study

So, what trucks are the most likely to last 250,000 miles or more? 

Rank Model % Chance of Lasting 250,000+ Miles Compared to Average
1 Ford F-350 Super Duty 49.1% 1.9x
2 Toyota Tundra 47.9% 1.8x
3 Ford F-250 Super Duty 43.6% 1.7x
4 Toyota Tacoma 41.7% 1.6x
5 GMC Sierra 2500HD 41.3% 1.6x
6 Chevrolet Silverado 2500HD 41.2% 1.6x
7 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 31.0% 1.2x
8 Chevrolet Avalanche 26.7% 1.0x
9 Ram 2500 26.3% 1.0x
10 Ram 3500 24.3% 0.9x analyzed data from a pool of over 260 million cars. For each vehicle, the average odometer reading was calculated at various yearly ages, forming the basis for a unique proprietary model.

Is more than 200,000 miles good for a truck? Absolutely. Are you going to see a lot of these extremely high-mileage trucks in a commercial fleet operation? Probably not. But knowing they can last this long is a fantastic indicator that the truck will make it for the miles your fleet needs. 

This model was then utilized to estimate the likelihood of each vehicle's survival to different mileage thresholds. As part of the thorough analysis, heavy-duty vans and models lacking sufficient data were excluded to ensure the accuracy of the findings.

About the author
Staff Writer

Staff Writer


Our team of enterprising editors brings years of experience covering the fleet industry. We offer a deep understanding of trends and the ever-evolving landscapes we cover in fleet, trucking, and transportation.  

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