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Verisk CargoNet: Cargo Theft Risk Heightened During July 4th Holiday Week

Verisk CargoNet's analysis of 184 cargo thefts occurring between July 1-7 over the past five years reveals critical patterns logistics companies should consider addressing leading up to the Fourth of July.

Red, white, and blue graphic illustrating the increase of cargo theft around the Fourth of July holiday time period.

Cargo theft rates have escalated far beyond historical norms, as reflected by analysis from Verisk CargoNet. Thefts typically increase around the Fourth of July.

Photo: Verisk CargoNet

2 min to read


Verisk CargoNet has issued an urgent advisory to the logistics industry warning of significantly increased cargo theft risk during the upcoming July 4th holiday week. Extended business closures generally create advantageous operating conditions for cargo thieves, making this period particularly vulnerable to supply chain security.

Key Findings from Five-Year Analysis

Verisk CargoNet's analysis of 184 cargo thefts occurring between July 1-7 over the past five years reveals critical patterns logistics companies should consider addressing:

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  • Peak Risk Days: July 1st and July 3rd represent the highest-risk days during the holiday period, with theft activity generally concentrated around extended weekend closures.

  • Dramatic Surge in Theft Activity: Cargo theft rates have escalated far beyond historical norms. While Verisk CargoNet averaged four theft reports per day between 2013-2022, recent years show the problem continues to escalate: eight reports daily in 2023, 10 in 2024, and 11 in 2025.

  • Geographic Hotspots: California, Texas, and Illinois remain the most targeted states. Logistics operations in Los Angeles County, California; San Bernardino County, California; Dallas County, Texas; Cook County, Illinois; and Shelby County, Tennessee; face the highest risk exposure.

  • Prime Targets: Current theft trends focus heavily on non-alcoholic beverages, vehicle accessories (especially tires and automotive parts), computer electronics, and major appliances.

  • Theft Methodology: Reports of direct cargo and vehicle theft continue to significantly outnumber reports of sophisticated fraud schemes, indicating a higher rate of direct action theft during vulnerable periods.

Notable July 4th Holiday Cargo Thefts

Previous Independence Day weeks have seen substantial losses across multiple sectors:

  • $700,000 in e-cigarettes stolen from Eastvale, California

  • $540,000 in apparel theft from Elk Grove Village, Illinois

  • $439,895 in medical supplies from Davenport, Florida

  • $352,000 in computer electronics from San Francisco, California

  • $314,191 in computer electronics from Commerce, California

Recommendations to Reduce Cargo Theft Risk

"The July 4th holiday period consistently presents one of the highest-risk windows for cargo theft due to extended facility closures and reduced security presence," said Keith Lewis, vice president of operations at Verisk CargoNet. "With theft rates nearly tripling over the past decade, logistics companies must prioritize enhanced security measures during holiday periods to protect their assets and maintain supply chain integrity."

The data highlights the need for enhanced security protocols during holiday periods when normal business operations are disrupted. Companies should implement additional safeguards, including increased facility monitoring, enhanced driver communication protocols, and coordinated security measures with law enforcement partners.

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Verisk CargoNet continues to work closely with logistics companies, law enforcement agencies, and industry partners to combat the rising threat of cargo theft and protect America's supply chain infrastructure.

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