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Pike Research Says Battery Electric Vehicles Lowest TCO for Alt-fuel Vehicles

Assuming that the operator is able to claim the $7,500 federal tax credit, a Pike Research study on the total cost of ownership of alternative-fuel vehicles shows that 'mid-size hybrid, plug-in hybrid and battery electric will have a lower TCO over a vehicle lifespan of 120,000 miles, but not at mileage levels that are well under that figure.'

by Staff
May 10, 2012
4 min to read


According to a new report from Pike Research, the lowest total cost of ownership (TCO) on alternative-fuel options for fleet operators in the United States is the battery-electric vehicle (BEV), assuming that the operator is able to claim the $7,500 federal tax credit, according to the firm.

Switching from conventional gasoline or diesel vehicles to alternative fuels and propulsion systems is one way for fleets to reduce costs while also cutting fuel consumption and maintenance. A wide range of alternative-vehicle options are available, including battery electric, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid, fuel cell, compressed natural gas (CNG) and other models, all of which offer different emissions, operational, and cost characteristics.

While these alternative-fuel vehicles carry an upfront cost premium (and can require additional infrastructure investments), the TCO over the lifetime of the vehicle can be lower than conventional internal combustion engine vehicles.

“Mid-size hybrid, plug-in hybrid and battery electric will have a lower TCO over a vehicle lifespan of 120,000 miles, but not at mileage levels that are well under that figure,” said Senior Analyst Lisa Jerram. “With $3.50 per-gallon gasoline, alternative-fuel vehicles will provide payback in fleets that do a lot of driving. As gas prices continue to rise over $4, the equation will tilt further toward options like hybrids and plug-ins that reduce gasoline usage.”

Pike Research’s TCO analysis also reveals the benefits of moving to a smaller vehicle, no matter the fuel type. The lowest TCO vehicles are the compact options, whether hybrid, gasoline, or CNG. The compact BEV and hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) models have lower TCOs than the small gasoline model, while the plug-in hybrid, mid-size HEV, diesel and CNG all have lower TCO than the mid-sized gasoline sedan.

By comparison, flex-fuel and stop-start vehicles are unlikely to pay off their higher sticker prices, primarily due to the limited models available and the higher price range of their vehicle segment, according to Pike.

Pike Research’s report, “Total Cost of Ownership of Alternative Fuel Vehicles for Fleet Operators”, provides a comparative TCO analysis across various alternative fuel vehicle categories including biodiesel, ethanol/flex-fuel, propane/autogas, compressed natural gas, stop-start, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid electric, battery electric and fuel cell vehicles. The primary focus is on fleet vehicles as they would operate in North America, with additional coverage provided for Western European vehicles and operations.

Because each fleet experience is different, the report also includes a spreadsheet that can be customized with the fleet operators’ own data.

According to a new report from Pike Research, the lowest alternative-fuel option for fleet operators in the United States is the battery-electric vehicle (BEV), assuming that the operator is able to claim the $7,500 federal tax credit, according to the firm.

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Switching from conventional gasoline or diesel vehicles to alternative fuels and propulsion systems is one way for fleets to reduce costs while also cutting fuel consumption and maintenance. A wide range of alternative-vehicle options are available, including battery electric, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid, fuel cell, compressed natural gas (CNG), and other models, all of which offer different emissions, operational, and cost characteristics. While these alternative-fuel vehicles carry an upfront cost premium (and can require additional infrastructure investments), the total cost of ownership (TCO) over the lifetime of the vehicle can be lower than conventional internal combustion engine vehicles.


“Mid-size hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and battery electric will have a lower TCO over a vehicle lifespan of 120,000 miles, but not at mileage levels that are well under that figure,” said Senior Analyst Lisa Jerram. “With $3.50 per-gallon gasoline, alternative-fuel vehicles will provide payback in fleets that do a lot of driving. As gas prices continue to rise over $4, the equation will tilt further toward options like hybrids and plug-ins that reduce gasoline usage.”


Pike Research’s TCO analysis also reveals the benefits of moving to a smaller vehicle, no matter the fuel type. The lowest TCO vehicles are the compact options, whether hybrid, gasoline, or CNG. The compact BEV and hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) models have lower TCOs than the small gasoline model, while the plug-in hybrid, mid-size HEV, diesel, and CNG all have lower TCO than the mid-sized gasoline sedan. By comparison, flex-fuel and stop-start vehicles are unlikely to pay off their higher sticker prices, primarily due to the limited models available and the higher price range of their vehicle segment, according to Pike.


Pike Research’s report, “Total Cost of Ownership of Alternative Fuel Vehicles for Fleet Operators”, provides a comparative TCO analysis across various alternative fuel vehicle categories including biodiesel, ethanol/flex-fuel, propane/autogas, compressed natural gas, stop-start, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid electric, battery electric, and fuel cell vehicles. The primary focus is on fleet vehicles as they would operate in North America, with additional coverage provided for Western European vehicles and operations. Because each fleet is experience is different, the report also includes a spreadsheet that can be customized with the fleet operators’ own data. An executive summary of the report can be downloaded for free on the firm’s website.

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