
Full-size cars finished January with the strongest retention value in a month that saw used vehicles depreciate 1.2 percent, according to Black Book's monthly report.
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Last year the depreciation rate on used vehicles reached 12.1 percent, which was lower than the initial forecast. For 2015, depreciation levels are expected to hit 14.5 percent, according to a new report from Black Book and Fitch Ratings.
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The depreciation rate for cars is expected to outpace trucks and vans, which will be aided by strong demand from small fleet buyers.
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A crop of 2015 model-year mid-size sedans that offer greater fuel efficiency and more safety features than ever before are expected to return less residual value to buyers in part due to higher supply volumes, according to a Black Book forecast.
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Used vehicles fell 12.1 percent in value during 2014, which represented a slight improvement from 2013, which saw a 12.8 percent depreciation, according to Black Book.
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The full-size pickup fleet segment depreciated by only 4.9 percent over the past 12 months; however, this rate is unlikely to continue into 2015.
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The used full-size van market has remained strong throughout 2014, but it is expected to decline in 2015. Part of the reason for the strength of the used van segment is the discontinuation of traditional U.S.-style vans by OEMs as the new European-style vans are released.
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The average price of a used vehicle fell 1.9 percent in November from the prior month led by steeper-than-expected declines by full-size pickups, according to Black Book.
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The vehicles should finish the year as the only category that will increase in residual value, while the broader market should depreciate more than 12 percent.
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Domestic cars lost the most in value at 3.2 percent among vehicles from the 2009-2013 model-years, while domestic trucks lost 2.1 percent. Compact pickups and full-size passenger vans and full-size cargo vans showed the most strength.
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